Hipkins announces new Cabinet - will an early election follow?

Big winners are Jan Tinetti (16th to 6th), Michael Wood (17th to 7th), and Ayesha Verrall (20th to 12th).

The biggest loser was Nanaia Mahutu (down from 9th to 16th) who lost Local Government. This is a huge signal that Three Waters is in big trouble under a Hipkins Government.

Phil Twyford, who said he will be competing in the 2023 Election, was completely dropped from Cabinet.

Don't be surprised if Hipkins doesn't now call an early election, on the back of his poll bounce. A May to July election looks as an increased likelihood now.